AymarData
KalshiLive recording · forward-onlyINXD-26OCT26-T6850

Kalshi INXD: S&P 500 above/below (daily close) — order book & trade data

77.0K book and trade events for Kalshi's s&p 500 above/below (daily close) markets, recorded live since 2026-10-01 — about 3,080 events a day.

Coverage

INXD S&P 500 Daily data coverage

What is recorded, how often it updates and how much there is.

Recording since

2026-10-01

25 days so far · no backfill

Events recorded

77,000

≈ 77.0K as of 2026-10-25

Avg events / day

3,080

book snapshot · book delta · trade

Update frequency

Order-book snapshots, deltas and trades streamed in real time

Daily activity · last 25 days

INXD events/day: 25-day series, average 3,080 events/day, low 1,677, high 3,963.
low 1,677avg 3,080high 3,963

Indicative daily event volume, last 25 days to 2026-10-25. Shape modeled from collector stats; mean matches the average events/day above.

About this market

What is INXD S&P 500 Daily?

INXD asks a single question each US trading day: will the S&P 500 close above a given level? It is the most-traded equity-index contract on Kalshi, with a ladder of strikes spaced to cover a normal day's range. AymarData has been recording the INXD series since 2026-10-01 and holds 77.0K events so far — about 3,080 a day. History is forward-only; we record live and do not backfill Kalshi.

Trading follows the US cash session: quiet overnight, active from the open, busiest in the last two hours as the close approaches and the ladder collapses toward 0 and 100. There are no weekend sessions, which gives the activity series its distinctive weekday shape.

INXD is the cleanest way to study how a prediction market prices the end of the US equity day. Pair it with futures or crypto-equity-linked perps to see the lead-lag as the close approaches, and use the final-hour data to calibrate settlement-time behaviour.

What moves INXD

  • The cash index itself, which sets distance-to-strike for every contract on the ladder
  • Scheduled macro releases and FOMC decisions, which add variance to the close
  • Mega-cap earnings, which move the index on days when the macro calendar is quiet

Schema

INXD S&P 500 Daily fields and sample rows

The same columns are returned by the API and in Parquet and CSV files.

FieldTypeDescription
ts_msint64Exchange event time, Unix milliseconds
tickerstringFull Kalshi market ticker
event_typestringbook_snapshot | book_delta | trade
sidestringbuy / sell on trades; bid / ask on book events
yes_bidnumberBest YES bid, 0–1 dollars
yes_asknumberBest YES ask, 0–1 dollars
volumeint64Contracts traded or resting at the level

Sample rows

ts_mstickerevent_typesideyes_bidyes_askvolume
1792784114388INXD-26OCT26-T6850book_snapshotbid0.740.761396
1792784115187INXD-26OCT26-T6900tradebuy0.510.531324
1792784115140INXD-26OCT26-T6950book_deltaask0.270.291919

Illustrative rows for the INXD series; tickers follow Kalshi's naming and prices are YES quotes in dollars (0–1).

Code

Pull INXD S&P 500 Daily in Python, cURL or MCP

Market id: INXD-26OCT26-T6850. Export AYMARDATA_API_KEY from your dashboard, then run the Python requests example.

import os
import requests

API = "https://api.aymardata.com/v1"
KEY = os.environ["AYMARDATA_API_KEY"]  # export AYMARDATA_API_KEY=ad_live_…
H = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {KEY}", "User-Agent": "aymardata-docs/1.0"}

# INXD: ten minutes of trades and book updates for one contract
trades = requests.get(
    f"{API}/trades",
    headers=H,
    params={
        "source": "kalshi",
        "market": "INXD-26OCT26-T6850",
        "start": "2026-10-23T19:30:00Z",
        "end": "2026-10-23T19:40:00Z",
        "limit": 500,
    },
    timeout=30,
).json()["data"]
last = trades[-1]
print(last["ticker"], last["yes_bid"], last["yes_ask"])

book = requests.get(
    f"{API}/book",
    headers=H,
    params={
        "source": "kalshi",
        "market": "INXD-26OCT26-T6850",
        "at": "2026-10-23T19:35:00Z",
        "depth": 10,
    },
    timeout=30,
).json()
print(book.get("spread"), len(trades))

FAQ

INXD S&P 500 Daily: common questions

When does INXD trade, and when does it settle?

Contracts list ahead of each US trading day and settle at the official index close. Order-book activity is concentrated in US market hours, so expect almost no events on weekends.

Why do INXD prices accelerate near the close?

As the cash close approaches, uncertainty about the closing level shrinks, so contracts near the money swing sharply with each index tick while far-from-the-money strikes drift to 0 or 100. The book data shows the market makers' quote changes as this happens.

What moves INXD prices?

The cash index itself, which sets distance-to-strike for every contract on the ladder; scheduled macro releases and FOMC decisions, which add variance to the close; and mega-cap earnings, which move the index on days when the macro calendar is quiet.

How much INXD history is available?

Recording began 2026-10-01 and is forward-only. At the time of this page that is 25 days, 77.0K events and about 3,080 events a day.

How do I query INXD data with the API?

Use market=<full ticker> such as INXD-26OCT26-T6850 with source=kalshi on /v1/trades or /v1/book, or ask the MCP server for the series by name. The snippets on this page are ready to run with your API key.

Backtest INXD S&P 500 Daily with real tick data

Get an API key, pull your first window and join it with the other sources in the catalog.